Retail
foodservice continues to be transformed by a powerful force I first identified
more than a decade ago, by Steven
Johnson, Grocerant Guru®, at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice Solutions®, Tacoma, WA. Back in 2012, I called it “The 65-Inch HDTV
Syndrome.” Today, with the average U.S. household TV now measuring 72
inches and home streaming consumption up 34% year over year, that
syndrome has amplified — and it’s rewriting the rules of food marketing,
mealtime behavior, and retail competition.
The Home Has Become the New Foodservice Hub
Foodservice
Solutions® Grocerant ScoreCards reveal that 87.6% of meals served at home
now include at least one Ready-2-Eat or Heat-N-Eat fresh prepared meal
component, up from 83.2% just five years ago.
This confirms a simple truth: the grocerant niche is no longer emerging — it
is the dominant growth driver in retail foodservice.
Consumers
are building meals the same way they build streaming playlists:
mix-and-match, personalized, convenient, and frictionless.
The
blurring of the lines between restaurants, grocery stores, convenience stores,
dollar stores, and drug stores continues at record speed. Each is now fighting
for the same customer, selling the same core product: fresh prepared food
that is portioned, portable, and positioned as “better for you.”
The Modern 72-Inch HDTV Syndrome
Today’s
consumer isn’t just looking for dinner —
they’re looking for a dinner experience that pairs perfectly with binge
watching, sports, gaming, or simply cocooning at home.
New
2025 grocerant research highlights:
·
71% of consumers
say they now plan at least three nights per week of “home-centric
entertainment” (up from 54% pre-pandemic).
·
62% say
they are replacing restaurant occasions with “fresh meal combos” from
grocery and C-store delis.
·
48% of Gen Z
say they build entire meals from two or more different retail channels
(ex: C-store entrée + grocery deli sides).
Where the Battle Is Being Won: The Five P’s of Food
Marketing
At
the intersection of the consumer, technology, and The Five P’s of Food
Marketing —
Product, Packaging, Placement, Portability, and Price —
the competitive landscape is intensifying.
Consumers
rank time and convenience above price for the first time in 20 years.
·
Product:
“Better for you,” fresh, clean-label is driving adoption.
·
Packaging:
Self-heating, recyclable, and tamper-evident formats are the new baseline.
·
Placement:
In-app visibility now rivals end-cap visibility.
·
Portability:
63% of meals are now consumed off-premise.
·
Price:
Value is judged by time saved, not dollars spent.
The Digital Delivery Effect Is Still Growing
Grubhub,
DoorDash, and Uber Eats report consistent double-digit growth in scheduled
orders, especially tied to entertainment.
During Q3 2024, pre-game football orders spiked 41%, surpassing early
2010s trends.
“When
the best seat in the house is at home, the best meal in the house must show up
effortlessly,” a recent Grubhub brand memo stated — confirming what the
Grocerant ScoreCards have shown all year.
Frozen Foods Continue to Decline as Fresh Wins
Packaged
Facts and Circana data show:
·
The $48 billion frozen foods category
grew only 0.7% in units in 2024.
·
59% of consumers
say they now purchase fewer frozen items due to a preference for fresh meal
components.
·
44% of Millennials
say frozen meals feel “less real” compared to deli-prepared equivalents.
Fresh
prepared Ready-2-Eat and Heat-N-Eat foods in nontraditional outlets pose the largest
threat to restaurant traffic since 2008.
Three New Insights from the Grocerant Guru®
1. The “Home Meal Experience Economy” Is Here
People
aren’t buying food — they’re buying an experience tailored to a screen, a
moment, and a mood. Retailers who package meals by occasion (Movie
Night, Rivalry Game Day, Cozy Sunday Bundles) will win.
2. The New Value Equation Is “Time × Personalization”
Consumers
want meals that reduce friction, not budgets. A $14 deli meal beats a $9 frozen
meal if it saves 20 minutes of prep and cleanup.
3. Meal Components Are the New Currency of Retail
Foodservice
Retailers
must think like Spotify: offer components, remix options, and customizable
bundles. The more modular the menu, the higher the frequency and the greater
the basket size.
Want to Lead in the 72-Inch HDTV Era?
Fresh
prepared food is the battlefield.
Meal components are the ammunition.
Convenience is the currency.
For
international corporate presentations, keynotes, or executive strategy
sessions, contact:
Steven
Johnson, Grocerant Guru®
Foodservice Solutions®, Tacoma, WA
www.GrocerantGuru.com
| www.FoodserviceSolutions.us
1-253-759-7869






No comments:
Post a Comment