Thursday, June 12, 2025

Consumer Channel Migration Elevates Disequilibrium A Grocerant Guru® Centric Perspective on Foodservice Channel Shifts

 


The grocery retail landscape is experiencing a tectonic shift, driven by an accelerating consumer migration from traditional grocery toward ready-to-eat, ready-to-heat, and freshly prepared foodservice options. This “grocerant” movement—a term coined by Grocerant Guru® Steven Johnson at Tacoma WA based Foodservice Solutions®—captures the fusion of grocery and restaurant experiences. Once a marginal trend, the grocerant model is now a powerful force eroding the boundaries between where food is purchased and where it is consumed. It has propelled supermarkets, convenience stores (c-stores), and quick-service restaurants (QSRs) into an intense competition for the consumer’s mealtime dollar.

Historical Trends: From Scratch Cooking to Grocerant Innovation

1970s–1990s: Supermarket Supremacy
Home-cooked meals and weekly shopping dominated the cultural narrative. Supermarkets thrived on bulk purchases and planned meal prep. This was the golden era of CPG advertising and loyalty cards.

2000s–2010s: The Rise of Convenience Culture
A cultural shift toward time-starved, dual-income households pushed consumers toward fast food and grab-and-go convenience. C-stores and QSRs began to blur the line between snacks and meals. Microwaveable meals and value menus redefined affordability and access.


In a Battle for Share of Stomach



2020s: The Grocerant Era
Today, we’re in the full swing of consumer channel migration. QSRs and c-stores offer complete meal solutions with restaurant-quality appeal. According to Johnson, “Consumers no longer eat where they shop. They shop where they can eat.” Grocery stores, with legacy infrastructure built around ingredient sales, are now urgently pivoting to retain meal relevance.

Data Signals: Evidence of the Grocerant Disruption

·       QSR Revenue Surge: Quick-service restaurants posted an 8.3% year-over-year revenue gain in 2024, far outpacing the 2.5% growth seen by grocery stores.

·       Declining Supermarket Footfall: Between 2019 and 2023, traditional supermarket visits dropped by 6.7%, reflecting eroded relevance in daily meal occasions.

·       C-store Fresh Food Boom: C-stores report 12% annual growth in foodservice revenue, fueled by robust investments in hot food programs and proprietary coffee platforms.

·       Delivery Ecosystem Disruption: App-based ordering and ghost kitchens make meal solutions ubiquitous—displacing the need for planned grocery trips and meal prep.


Grocerant Disruptions: A Framework from the Grocerant Guru®

Steven Johnson emphasizes that legacy grocery formats are in disequilibrium due to structural, technological, and behavioral disruptions. Here are the most pressing:

1.       Rising Rent & Ops Costs: Traditional grocers are locked into inefficient square footage, draining margins.

2.       Labor Shortages: Deli and hot food counters remain underutilized due to staffing challenges.

3.       Time Starvation: Consumers are choosing speed over scratch.

4.       Inflation-Induced Behavior Shifts: Shoppers trade down to low-prep, low-waste meal solutions.

5.       Generational Meal Preferences: Millennials and Gen Z are “serial snackers” who crave flavor variety and digital convenience.

6.       Digital Grocery Erosion: Online grocery lacks sensory engagement, making impulse and fresh food sales suffer.

7.       Mobile Meals Reign: Restaurant meals can now be ordered in less time than it takes to plan a grocery list.

8.       Occasion Fragmentation: Breakfast, lunch, and late-night meals have migrated from the grocery aisle to the convenience checkout.


Grocerant Solutions: Strategies to Restore Relevance

According to Johnson, “The future of grocery isn’t grocery—it’s foodservice.” Here are actionable pathways for reclaiming consumer mealtime:

1.       Reformat Store Footprints: Redesign floorplans to emphasize grocerant zones—think seating, hot bars, and self-checkout at food counters.

2.       Leverage Labor Automation: Adopt robotics for repetitive tasks like sandwich making, coffee service, and salad bars.

3.       Double Down on Grab-and-Go: Offer chef-inspired meals, bento boxes, and ethnic street foods in compact, high-turn formats.

4.       Price to Compete: Promote bundled meal deals (entrée + side + drink) at price points that rival fast food.

5.       Generational Menu Engineering: Infuse flavor-forward, globally inspired dishes that resonate with Gen Z’s adventurous palate.



6.       Omnichannel Ordering: Enable mobile app pre-orders, subscription meal kits, and AI-driven suggestions based on consumption patterns.

7.       Last-Mile Partnerships: Collaborate with DoorDash, Uber Eats, or local players to bring grocery-prepared meals into the delivery mainstream.

8.       Brand as a Destination: Market the grocery store as a community food hub—not a pantry restocker.

Think About This: The New Battleground for the Mealtime Dollar

The retail food landscape is undergoing one of the most profound recalibrations in modern history. The consumer’s pivot toward frictionless, foodservice-forward experiences has unbalanced the traditional grocery model. As the Grocerant Guru® notes, “We are witnessing a fundamental rewiring of what it means to be a food retailer.”



Survival depends on grocers thinking like restaurateurs, technologists, and experience designers. Those that adapt quickly—embedding foodservice into their core identity—can win back the mealtime mindshare. Those that don’t risk being left behind in a world where the consumer now expects meals, not menus.

Success Leaves Clues—Are You Ready to Find Yours?

One key insight that continues to drive success is this: "The consumer is dynamic, not static." This principle is the foundation of our work at Foodservice Solutions®, where Steven Johnson, the Grocerant Guru®, has been helping brands stay relevant in an ever-evolving market.

Want to strengthen your brand’s connection with today’s consumers? Let’s talk. Call 253-759-7869 for more information.

Stay Ahead of the Competition with Fresh Ideas

Is your food marketing keeping up with tomorrow’s trends—or stuck in yesterday’s playbook? If you're ready for fresh ideations that set your brand apart, we’re here to help.

At Foodservice Solutions®, we specialize in consumer-driven retail food strategies that enhance convenience, differentiation, and individualization—key factors in driving growth.

👉 Email us at Steve@FoodserviceSolutions.us
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