Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Reoccurring Customer Visits Drive Incremental Revenue Faster

 


The growth algorithm across all sectors of food retail—restaurants, convenience stores, and grocery service delis—has converged on one immutable truth according to Steven Johnson Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice Solutions®:  frequency of visits is the most reliable driver of incremental revenue and long-term profitability.

What was once a convenience-store insight is now a cross-channel mandate.

A recent study from Vontier found that just 24% of customers (“Super-Users”) account for a disproportionate share of visits and revenue, driven not by discounts, but by habit, familiarity, and emotional connection. That behavioral pattern is not isolated—it is replicating across restaurant chains and grocery foodservice operations.

 


The Cross-Sector Frequency Flywheel

Whether the platform is a convenience store, quick-service restaurant, fast casual concept, or grocery deli, the economic model is identical:

·       More visits = more occasions

·       More occasions = more attachment opportunities

·       More attachment = higher lifetime value

The question is no longer “How do we increase ticket?”
The question is “How do we earn the next visit—tomorrow?”

 


Convenience Stores: From Transactional to Habitual

The Vontier data highlights five drivers of repeat visits—familiarity, safety, food relevance, bundling, and dwell time—all of which are now baseline expectations.

Operators like 7-Eleven and Wawa have proven that digital ecosystems combined with strong food offerings drive higher visit frequency. Meanwhile, Sheetz continues to win with younger consumers by delivering customized, daypart-driven food experiences, not just fuel stops.

 


Restaurant Sector: Engineering Daily Relevance

Restaurants have been highly effective at engineering frequency into daily routines.

At Starbucks, more than half of U.S. transactions are tied to its loyalty platform, but the real driver is ritual behavior—morning coffee, afternoon recharge, and mobile order convenience. Frequency is built into the customer’s day.

McDonald's has focused on value platforms and digital ordering, increasing visit frequency through expanded dayparts such as breakfast, snacks, and late night.

Fast casual leaders like Chipotle Mexican Grill report that digital customers visit more often than non-digital users, driven by ease of use and customization.

Subscription models are also reshaping behavior. Panera Bread has shown that beverage subscriptions significantly increase visit frequency, even when individual transactions are low in value, because they create consistent habits.

 


Grocery Service Deli: A Big Battleground

The most underappreciated—and fastest evolving—frequency driver is inside the grocery store: the service deli and prepared foods department.

Retailers are shifting from selling ingredients to providing ready-to-eat meal solutions for immediate consumption.

At Kroger, prepared foods and meal solutions are designed to capture multiple visits per week, especially around dinner. The goal is to replace restaurant visits with in-store foodservice occasions.

Whole Foods Market has positioned its prepared foods section as a restaurant alternative, offering chef-driven meals and grab-and-go options that drive frequent visits, particularly in urban markets.

Regional leaders like H-E-B have gone further by integrating restaurant-quality meals and in-store dining, blurring the line between grocery and foodservice.

Even traditional operators like Albertsons are investing in upgraded deli and prepared food programs, recognizing that fresh and ready-to-eat foods drive more trips than center-store products.

 


Food as the Universal Frequency Anchor

Across all sectors, one insight stands out:

Food is the primary driver of repeat visits.

·       In convenience stores, food drives a majority of visits among younger consumers

·       In restaurants, food is the core of daily routines

·       In grocery, prepared foods create reasons to visit beyond weekly stock-up trips

The strategic implication is clear:
Retailers that fail to build compelling ready-to-eat food programs will lose visit share, regardless of pricing strategy.

 


The New Competitive Set: Everyone Competes with Everyone

The “grocerant” reality is this:

·       Grocery stores compete with restaurants for dinner

·       Restaurants compete with convenience stores for convenience

·       Convenience stores compete with grocery for value and speed

Consumers are not loyal to channels—they are loyal to solutions that meet their immediate needs.

 


Data-Driven Patterns Across Sectors

·       Starbucks: High-frequency users drive disproportionate revenue through habit-based visits

·       McDonald's: Digital engagement increases repeat visits and expands dayparts

·       Kroger: Prepared foods increase weekly trip frequency

·       7-Eleven: Loyalty and mobile ordering increase visit cadence

·       Panera Bread: Subscription programs turn occasional users into frequent visitors

 


The Grocerant Guru® Perspective: Frequency Is the Only Scalable Growth Lever

From Tacoma, Washington to markets across the country, the pattern is consistent:

You do not win by being cheaper.
You win by being chosen more often.

That requires building what I call Frequency Infrastructure:

1.       Daypart relevance – breakfast, lunch, snacks, dinner, late night

2.       Meal solutions – convenient, portable, and appealing

3.       Digital enablement – easy ordering, payment, and rewards

4.       Emotional connection – familiarity, trust, and consistency

 


Three Grocerant Guru® Insights

1. Frequency is channel-agnostic
Success is not about format. It is about becoming part of the customer’s routine.

2. The service deli is the new restaurant
Grocery growth will come from fresh, prepared, ready-to-eat foods—not packaged goods.

3. Habit beats promotion every time
Discounts may drive a single visit. Habits drive long-term behavior and higher lifetime value.

 


Think About This

The food industry is no longer segmented—it is fully converged.

And in this environment, reoccurring customer visits are the fastest way to drive incremental revenue.

Because the most valuable customer is not the one who spends the most today—

It is the one who comes back tomorrow.

Elevate Your Brand with Expert Insights

For corporate presentations, regional chain strategies, educational forums, or keynote speaking, Steven Johnson, the Grocerant Guru®, delivers actionable insights that fuel success.

With deep experience in restaurant operations, brand positioning, and strategic consulting, Steven provides valuable takeaways that inspire and drive results.

Visit GrocerantGuru.com or FoodserviceSolutions.US Call 1-253-759-7869



Monday, April 6, 2026

What Goes Around Comes Around: Why “Back to Basics” Is Winning the Modern Plate

 


In foodservice, trends rarely disappear. They cycle, evolve, and return with sharper relevance. In 2026, one of the most telling examples is the resurgence of traditional cooking fats such as butter, lard, and beef tallow. This shift is not driven by nostalgia alone. It is supported by clear, data-backed consumer demand, particularly among younger diners.

A new national survey conducted in February 2026 among 1,005 U.S. consumers highlights a meaningful change in behavior:

·       Fifty-two percent of consumers ages 18 to 34 say cooking fat influences where they choose to eat

·       Thirty-three percent of consumers age 55 and older say the same

·       When choosing between two identical restaurants, thirty-one percent of younger diners select the one using beef tallow, compared to nineteen percent of older diners

·       Overall preference shows twenty-four point seven percent favor animal fats such as butter and tallow, while fifteen point six percent prefer seed oils

This represents a significant preference gap and, more importantly, a shift in how consumers evaluate food quality.

The Strategic Insight

Cooking fat is no longer just a back-of-house operational choice. It has become a front-of-house marketing advantage.

 


Three Chains Going Back to Basics to Win Customers

1. Steak 'n Shake: Using Tallow to Drive Traffic

Steak ’n Shake has leaned into beef tallow fries as a way to reconnect with its heritage. The messaging focuses on original cooking methods and authentic flavor.

This approach resonates with younger consumers who are actively seeking transparency and simplicity in ingredients. By returning to traditional frying methods, the brand reinforces both indulgence and value.

The result is a clear product differentiation that also generates conversation, particularly across digital and social platforms.

 


2. Shake Shack: Simplicity and Ingredient Integrity

Shake Shack continues to succeed by focusing on fundamentals. Its approach includes butter-toasted buns, a streamlined ingredient list, and a clear sourcing story.

While the brand does not center its messaging on beef tallow, it aligns with the same broader trend. Consumers are gravitating toward food that feels less processed and more traditional.

Industry data from 2024 through 2026 shows that brands emphasizing ingredient clarity consistently perform better with Gen Z consumers.

 


3. Buffalo Wild Wings: Returning to Flavor Fundamentals

Buffalo Wild Wings is reinforcing its focus on craveable, traditional wing preparation. The emphasis is on classic frying techniques and delivering a consistent, high-quality texture and flavor.

This pivot reflects a broader move away from overly engineered food and toward authenticity. For products like wings, where texture is critical, traditional fats and cooking methods play a key role in perceived quality.

 


Macro Food Marketing Data Points from 2024 to 2026

·       Whole Foods Market’s 2026 trend forecast identifies beef tallow as an emerging ingredient gaining visibility

·       Datassential reports that ingredient transparency is one of the top drivers of restaurant choice among Gen Z

·       Technomic data from 2025 shows a double-digit increase in menu claims tied to back-to-basics cooking methods

·       Social media engagement for content featuring traditional cooking techniques significantly outperforms content focused on highly processed foods

 


What This Means for the Industry

This shift is not simply about cooking fat. It is about trust, flavor, and authenticity.

Younger consumers are paying closer attention to how food is prepared. They are asking more questions and connecting preparation methods directly to value. In this environment, value is no longer defined by price alone. It is defined by the quality and transparency of the process behind the food.

 


Grocerant Guru® Insights

1.       Back-of-house decisions are now front-of-house opportunities
Restaurants must communicate how food is prepared, not just what is served. Transparency builds trust and drives traffic.

2.       Flavor leads when it is framed as authentic
Consumers are not avoiding indulgence. They are choosing indulgence that feels real and rooted in traditional methods.

3.       Heritage cooking methods are a growth strategy
Brands that reconnect with proven techniques and explain their relevance to today’s consumer will be better positioned for long-term success.

Think About This 
What goes around does come around. In today’s foodservice landscape, it returns with clearer data, stronger consumer intent, and measurable impact on where and how people choose to dine.

Tap into the Foodservice Solutions® team for greater understanding of New Electricity or for a Grocerant Program Assessment, Grocerant ScoreCard, or for product positioning or placement assistance, or call our Grocerant Guru®.  Since 1991 www.FoodserviceSolutions.us  of Tacoma, WA has been the global leader in the Grocerant niche. Contact: Steve@FoodserviceSolutions.us or 253-759-7869



Sunday, April 5, 2026

Grocers’ Biggest Strategic Misfire: Chasing Shelf Rent While Consumers Chase Dinner Tonight

 


The data is not ambiguous—it is directional and disruptive. According to FMI – The Food Industry Association, the percentage of consumers replacing restaurant meals with deli-prepared foods jumped from 12% in 2017 to 28% in 2025. At the same time, 53% of consumers are assembling hybrid meals, blending prepared foods with items already at home.

That is not incremental change. That is a behavioral reset around time, value, and immediacy according to Steven Johnson Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice Solutions®.

Yet, as grocers attempt to reposition around foodservice and “fresh,” they continue to operate with legacy economics—most notably, slotting fees and shelf monetization models—that are fundamentally misaligned with how consumers actually eat today.

What follows is a sharper, more direct assessment of where grocers are getting it wrong—and why slotting fees may be the single biggest structural impediment to relevance.

 


1. Slotting Fees: The Grocery Industry’s Structural Achilles’ Heel

Let’s be precise: slotting fees are not just a line item—they are a strategic constraint.

Grocers have built a business model where:

·       Manufacturers pay for access to shelf space

·       Category resets are influenced by trade funding, not consumption velocity

·       Center store economics are optimized for margin per linear foot, not meals solved per trip

That creates a dangerous distortion:

Grocers are incentivized to stock what manufacturers fund—not what consumers need tonight.

Meanwhile, the consumer has shifted to a completely different decision framework:

·       “What can I eat in the next 30 minutes?”

·       “How do I minimize effort but still feel good about the meal?”

·       “Can I mix this with what I already have at home?”

Slotting fees push assortment toward:

·       Shelf-stable

·       Packaged

·       Brand-funded items

Consumers are pulling demand toward:

·       Fresh

·       Prepared

·       Immediate-use meal components

That gap is widening.

Bluntly stated:
Grocers are drifting toward a shelf rental model, while consumers are demanding a meal solutions platform.

Until that economic engine changes, execution will remain compromised—no matter how much capital is poured into deli remodels or fresh perimeter expansions.

 


2. They Say “Foodservice,” But Operate Like Merchandisers

Grocers talk about competing with restaurants. Operationally, they still behave like inventory managers.

Foodservice is not about expanding a deli footprint—it is about:

·       Hospitality

·       Throughput

·       Menu engineering

·       Daypart optimization

Most grocery environments still prioritize:

·       Planograms over people

·       Inventory turns over customer engagement

·       Back-of-house efficiency over front-of-house experience

Even NielsenIQ data shows:

·       66% of consumers cite quality as a top driver

·       56% cite ingredients

·       Only 37% trust brands, and 72% will switch when trust erodes

That means every interaction matters. Every meal must “prove itself.”

Insight:
You cannot buy foodservice credibility with shelf resets. It is earned through execution.

 


3. Assortment Bloat Is Undermining Deli Effectiveness

Grocers continue to expand deli SKUs under the assumption that more choice equals more sales.

In reality:

·       Consumers are time-starved

·       Decision fatigue is a real barrier to purchase

·       Shoppers want confidence, not complexity

Industry data shows rising traction in:

·       Signature items (now in ~40% of stores)

·       Focused, repeatable meal solutions

·       Daypart-specific offerings

Yet many delis remain:

·       Overbuilt

·       Operationally strained

·       Inconsistent in execution

Insight:
A smaller, sharper menu that solves dinner tonight will outperform a broad, unfocused assortment every time.

 


4. Speed of Service Is the New Customer Acquisition Cost

Grocers underestimate how quickly they lose a customer.

If a shopper:

·       Waits too long at the deli

·       Cannot quickly identify a meal solution

·       Encounters friction at checkout

They defect—to:

·       Quick-service restaurants

·       Convenience stores

·       Delivery platforms

This is not a marketing problem. It is an operational latency problem.

In today’s environment:

Speed is not a convenience—it is a competitive weapon.

Every minute of delay is equivalent to spending marketing dollars to drive a customer away.

 


5. Grocers Think in Bundles—Consumers Think in Meal Components

Grocers continue to push bundled offers:

·       Rotisserie chicken + two sides

·       Pre-configured family meals

But the data shows something more nuanced:

·       53% of consumers are mixing prepared items with home ingredients

·       Growth is strongest in modular categories:

o   Salads (+6.6%)

o   Prepared meats (+5.7%)

o   Appetizers (+4.2%)

This is not traditional meal bundling. This is modular consumption behavior.

Consumers want:

·       A protein

·       A side

·       A fresh add-on

·       The flexibility to integrate with what they already have

Insight:
The winning model is not bundling—it is curated interoperability.

 


The Underlying Issue: Misaligned Incentives

At its core, the grocery industry is dealing with conflicting economic signals:

·       Slotting fees reward shelf space monetization

·       Consumers reward immediacy and relevance

·       Labor is treated as a cost, while foodservice demands it as an investment

These are not small gaps—they are structural contradictions.

You cannot simultaneously:

·       Maximize slotting income

·       Minimize labor

·       Expand fresh foodservice

·       Deliver restaurant-quality experiences

Something has to give.

 


Think About This from the Grocerant Guru®

Grocers are closer than ever to owning the “dinner tonight” occasion—but they are being held back by their own legacy business model.

If you strip it down to its essence:

·       The industry is optimized to sell shelf space

·       The consumer is trying to buy time and solutions

That is the disconnect.

Three Forward-Looking Insights:

1.       Slotting fees will become increasingly incompatible with fresh food growth
The more a store leans into prepared foods, the less relevant shelf monetization becomes.

2.       Deli will either become a true foodservice engine—or remain an underperforming hybrid
There is no middle ground.

3.       The winners will reallocate space from packaged goods to meal solutions
Not incrementally—but decisively.

Bottom line:
The future of grocery is not on the shelf.
It is on the plate—tonight.

Stay Ahead of the Competition with Fresh Ideas

Is your food marketing keeping up with tomorrow’s trends—or stuck in yesterday’s playbook? If you're ready for fresh ideations that set your brand apart, we’re here to help.

At Foodservice Solutions®, we specialize in consumer-driven retail food strategies that enhance convenience, differentiation, and individualization—key factors in driving growth.

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