For
more than 110 years, American grocery shopping has evolved in step with
consumer lifestyles—and today, technology is accelerating that evolution faster
than any era before it. From the first self-service grocery store in 1916
(Piggly Wiggly) to the rise of UPC barcodes in 1974 and the online grocery boom
that began in the early 2000s, each shift has brought consumers one step closer
to speed, convenience, and personalization.
Now,
the biggest transformation in decades is underway: grocery shopping is
becoming “meal component shopping”, according to Steven Johnson Grocerant Guru®
at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice
Solutions®. Technology—especially AI—is pushing consumers to shop not for
categories, but for ready-to-assemble components that fit their lifestyles,
budgets, and cooking comfort levels.
AI: The Newest Link in the Food Retail Chain
A
new survey from Qlik reveals the speed of this cultural shift.
·
58% of Gen Z
and 56% of Millennials plan to use AI tools like ChatGPT or Copilot to
plan, prep, or cook Thanksgiving meals this year—more than any other
generation.
·
Over 50% of all respondents believe
AI can help them save money on groceries.
·
Nearly 1 in 5 expect to save $50
or more this holiday season.
·
28% believe AI can cut
their prep time by up to an hour.
That
is not a novelty trend—that is restructuring how America shops, cooks, and
decides what to buy.
As
Mike Capone, CEO of Qlik, put it: “Americans are showing us exactly where AI
fits into their lives—it’s the helper, not the host.”
Consumers
agree:
·
31% said they rely on
AI more than family members to build shopping lists.
·
26% will even use AI to
generate trivia or conversation starters for the holiday table.
Technology
is no longer just in the shopping cart; it is shaping how the meal itself comes
together.
From Weekly Stock-Ups to Meal Component Missions
Historically,
grocery shopping followed a predictable cycle:
·
1950s–1970s: Pantry stock-up trips
dominated.
·
1980s–1990s: Superstores and EDLP
pricing helped families stretch budgets.
·
2000s: Loyalty cards and data.
·
2010s: Meal kits, grab-and-go, and
foodservice at retail.
By
the mid-2010s, 62% of consumers reported mixing grocery store foodservice with
traditional grocery items in the same trip. By 2023, that number exceeded 70%.
This
trend gave birth to what the Grocerant Guru® has documented for more than a
decade:
Consumers no longer shop for groceries—they shop for meal
components.
Meal
component shopping includes:
·
Ready-to-heat proteins
·
Chef-crafted sides
·
Prepped vegetables
·
Sauces, dips, and finishing touches
·
Rotisserie chicken (still the #1
in-store foodservice driver for 25+ years)
·
Mix-and-match prepared entrees
·
AI-generated shopping lists organized
by recipes
AI
is accelerating this because it thinks in meals, not categories.
Ask an AI for dinner ideas, and it builds a component list: protein, veg,
starch, sauce, toppings—exactly how modern shoppers think.
Why Consumers Love This Evolution
Food
retail data shows the drivers of meal component shopping align perfectly with
AI-assisted planning:
1. Rising Prices = Component Efficiency
With
food-at-home inflation averaging 25% cumulative since 2019, shoppers use
AI to maximize value, swap ingredients, and avoid waste.
2. Time Poverty
Today,
67% of Americans say they don’t have enough time to cook from scratch.
AI cuts planning time, and stores provide components to speed preparation.
3. Cooking Confidence
44%
say they still rely on friends or family for cooking advice, but only 11% use
traditional cookbooks.
AI fills the confidence gap with fast tutorials and tailored suggestions.
4. Personalization
Online
retailers report that personalized recommendations increase basket size 15–25%.
AI meal planning enhances that effect—especially for younger shoppers.
How Retailers Are Responding
Forward-thinking
grocers now:
·
Integrate AI into apps for smart list
building
·
Cross-merchandise around meals rather
than categories
·
Increase space for fresh prepared
foods, now a $50+ billion sector
·
Position stores as hybrid
grocery-restaurant destinations
·
Use predictive analytics to reduce
shrink and optimize ready-to-eat offerings
In
the words of the Grocerant Guru®, “Retailers that sell meals, not just
ingredients, win the loyalty battle.”
Four Forward-Looking Insights from the Grocerant Guru®
1. AI-Driven Meal Pathing Will Replace the Weekly Circular
By
2027, digital meal plans—complete with custom shopping lists—will be more
influential than the weekly ad. Promotions will be personalized, dynamic, and
tied directly to mealtime missions.
2. Meal Components Will Outgrow Traditional Center Store
Categories
Consumers
want solutions, not staples. Prepared proteins, value-added produce, and
ready-to-heat grains will drive margin as center store declines.
3. Retail Foodservice Will Become the Primary Traffic
Driver
The
battle for the consumer’s dinner plate will be decided in the fresh perimeter.
Grocers that act like restaurants will outperform those that behave like
warehouses.
4. AI and Foodservice Will Merge Into a “Smart Meal
Ecosystem”
Shoppers
will plan meals through AI, pick up components from the grocery store, and
assemble them at home—creating a hybrid dining model that is personalized,
affordable, and frictionless.
Are you trapped doing what you
have always done and doing it the same way?
Interested in
learning how www.FoodserviceSolutions.us can edify your retail food brand while
creating a platform for consumer convenient meal participation, differentiation
and individualization? Email us
at: Steve@FoodserviceSolutions.us or visit: www.FoodserviceSolutions.us for more information.






















