Showing posts with label Grocerant Guru. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Grocerant Guru. Show all posts

Thursday, October 1, 2026

Circle K Builds a Foodservice Frankenstein: Does More Branding Mean More Value

 


There is an old saying in the restaurant business: If at first you don't succeed, try again. That may be the philosophy behind Circle K's newest strategy. However, according to Steven Johnson, Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice Solutions® this bet on the past just might become a learning lesson not a path forward.

The convenience-store giant, together with The Briad Group, is preparing to open what it calls its first multi-brand Circle K travel center in Binghamton, New York. The 6,800-square-foot facility at 265 Court Street is designed to combine a Circle K convenience store, eight fuel pumps, two dedicated drive-thru lanes, Dunkin', Wendy's and a nontraditional Papa Johns offering. A second location in Watertown, New York, is under construction and is expected to open in January 2027. Briad says it ultimately could develop as many as 40 locations under its long-term Circle K agreement.

On paper, it sounds like the future of the convenience-store foodservice business.

From the historical perspective of the Grocerant Guru®, however, it also sounds remarkably familiar.


And that deserves a closer look.

Co-branding isn't new. The industry has been trying it for decades.

Restaurant companies discovered co-branding decades ago.

In the 1990s and early 2000s, the basic proposition was seductive: Put two restaurant brands under one roof, share real estate and infrastructure, capture more consumer occasions, expand dayparts and give customers more choices.

Yum Brands became perhaps the industry's most famous practitioner, combining KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, A&W and Long John Silver's in various combinations.

A 2005 Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly analysis found that Yum's co-branding strategy had, at that point, typically generated sales approximately 30% higher than comparable single-brand units. But the research also identified an important problem: operational complexity.

That distinction matters.

Co-branding can increase the number of things a consumer can buy without necessarily increasing the value of the host brand.

And restaurant history provides several cautionary examples.

1. KFC + A&W

KFC and A&W represented an early attempt to put different restaurant propositions under the same roof.

The idea was logical: chicken plus burgers/root beer creates more choice.

But eventually A&W became one of the brands Yum Brands decided no longer fit its long-term strategy.

In 2011, Yum sold A&W and Long John Silver's. Yum reported $86 million in pretax losses and other costs, primarily associated with closures and impairment, related to those divestitures.

The lesson isn't that putting two brands together can never work.

The lesson is that more brands don't automatically create a stronger business.

2. Long John Silver's + other Yum brands

Long John Silver's was another component of Yum's multibranding experiment.

The company eventually concluded that both A&W and Long John Silver's no longer fit its long-term growth strategy and sold the brands in 2011.

The historical irony is striking.

The same corporate portfolio that once promoted multibranding as a way to make restaurant real estate more productive ultimately simplified the portfolio.

Today, Yum's principal concepts are KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut and Habit Burger & Grill.


3. Dual-concept KFC/Taco Bell locations

KFC/Taco Bell became one of the industry's best-known co-branded combinations.

But even where the combination remained viable, franchise documents demonstrate one of the industry's recurring problems: dual-concept restaurants can require larger buildings, additional equipment, more signage and greater remodeling costs.

One franchise company's SEC filing specifically noted that a dual-concept restaurant generally required more equipment and a larger building, increasing costs when franchise standards changed.

And that is the part of co-branding that consumers never see.

They see more logos.

Operators see more systems.

4. McDonald's + Krispy Kreme

The most recent example is particularly relevant because it occurred in the middle of today's consumer environment.

McDonald's and Krispy Kreme launched a major partnership in 2024, putting Krispy Kreme doughnuts into McDonald's restaurants.

But the program struggled to scale. By May 2025, fewer than 20% of McDonald's locations were selling Krispy Kreme doughnuts, and Krispy Kreme paused further expansion. The companies ultimately ended the partnership in 2025 after Krispy Kreme concluded it was not profitable enough to sustain.

The problem wasn't awareness.

Everybody knew McDonald's.

Everybody knew Krispy Kreme.

The problem was economics, logistics and consumer demand.

That's an important warning for Circle K.

So why is Circle K recycling the co-branding template?

That is the question I would ask.


Why does Circle K believe that a restaurant co-branding formula that has repeatedly encountered operational and economic challenges will suddenly become a winning formula inside convenience retail in 2026?

Perhaps the answer is that Circle K isn't actually trying to build a traditional co-branded restaurant.

Perhaps it is trying to build something different:

a convenience-store travel destination.

That distinction matters.

The Binghamton project isn't simply a KFC/Taco Bell-style shared restaurant. It combines fuel + convenience retail + multiple restaurant brands + drive-thru access.

Briad says the building was specifically engineered around the partnership, with Circle K, Dunkin', Wendy's and Papa Johns integrated into one facility.

That's different architecture.

But architecture doesn't automatically create consumer value.


What is Circle K going to do differently?

This is where the strategy needs to be tested.

Circle K should be able to answer five very simple questions:

1. What does Circle K own in the consumer's mind?

If the consumer comes for Dunkin' coffee, Wendy's lunch and Papa Johns pizza, does the consumer remember Circle K—or simply remember the restaurant brands?

2. What is the Circle K reason to visit?

If three national restaurant brands are doing the food marketing, what unique food proposition does Circle K create?

3. Does the customer experience become easier or more complicated?

Three restaurant brands can mean three menus, three operating systems, three sets of expectations and potentially three different customer journeys.

4. Does co-branding increase Circle K's basket—or merely rent Circle K's real estate to other brands?

That's a critical distinction.

5. What happens when consumers stop thinking in restaurant categories?

That last question may be the most important of all.

The consumer has already moved beyond the industry's silos

The modern consumer doesn't necessarily think:

"I need to visit a convenience store."

Or:

"I need to visit a restaurant."

Or:

"I need to visit a grocery store."

Consumers increasingly think in terms of occasions.

Breakfast.

Lunch.

Dinner.

Snack.

Coffee.

A cold drink.

Something portable.

Something fresh.

Something fast.

Something affordable.

That's the foundation of the Grocerant Niche.


The consumer doesn't care which industry supplied the food.

The consumer cares about the food, price, value, quality, convenience and experience.

That is why I have argued for decades that there are no silos in the consumer's mind.

The restaurant industry can divide itself into QSR, fast casual, convenience, grocery, foodservice and retail.

Consumers don't have to.

The real Circle K opportunity isn't co-branding

Circle K already possesses something extremely valuable:

a consumer relationship built around convenience.

Fuel.

Cold beverages.

Coffee.

Snacks.

Fresh food.

Prepared food.

Impulse purchases.

Speed.

Location.

Extended hours.

Those are assets.

Adding recognizable restaurant logos doesn't necessarily strengthen those assets.

It may actually create a branding paradox.

If Wendy's is the destination for burgers, Dunkin' is the destination for coffee and Papa Johns is the destination for pizza, what is Circle K's food identity?

That's the question.

And it becomes even more important as convenience retailers increasingly build their own fresh-food identities.

The competitive battlefield isn't simply:

Circle K vs. Wendy's.

It is:

Who owns the consumer's food occasion?


Three Insights from the Grocerant Guru®

1. Co-branding adds logos; it doesn't necessarily add value.

The history of restaurant co-branding demonstrates that putting recognizable brands under one roof can create incremental sales, but it can also create operational complexity, higher costs and conflicting brand priorities. Yum's experience with A&W and Long John Silver's and the McDonald's-Krispy Kreme partnership demonstrate that famous brands alone don't guarantee sustainable economics.

2. The 2026 consumer is buying occasions—not restaurant brands.

The consumer has moved toward a Mix-and-Match Meal Component mentality.

Coffee from one brand.

A breakfast sandwich from another.

A beverage from the convenience store.

A snack from a different section.

Dinner assembled from multiple sources.

The consumer doesn't need Circle K to put three restaurant brands under one roof.

The consumer needs Circle K to make the entire food occasion faster, easier, fresher and more valuable.

3. Circle K should build the Circle K food brand—not become a billboard for everybody else's brands.

This is the biggest strategic question.

If consumers enter a Circle K travel center and immediately think Dunkin', Wendy's and Papa Johns, then Circle K has created a terrific location for three restaurant brands.

But if consumers enter and think:

"Circle K is where I can get whatever food I want, quickly, affordably and conveniently,"

then Circle K has created something much more powerful.

That's the difference between co-branding and brand building.

And from the perspective of the Grocerant Guru®, that distinction could determine whether Circle K's 2026 multi-brand travel-center strategy becomes a genuine next-generation convenience model—or simply the industry's latest attempt to make an old co-branding formula work in a new building.

For international corporate presentations, educational forums, or keynotes contact: Steven Johnson Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice Solutions.  His extensive experience as a multi-unit restaurant operator, consultant, brand / product positioning expert and public speaking will leave success clues for all. For more information visit www.GrocerantGuru.com, www.FoodserviceSolutions.us  or call    1-253-759-7869



Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Is Starbucks’ CEO Hoodwinking Wall Street—or Is the Turnaround Really Working

 


The Grocerant Guru® asks: Is Starbucks really getting “Back to Starbucks,” or is Wall Street being handed a familiar restaurant turnaround script that sounds better than the consumer reality?

Let's be clear from the beginning: “hoodwinking” is a question, not an accusation. There is no evidence presented here that Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol is intentionally misleading investors.

But there is a legitimate food-marketing question worth asking.

When a restaurant company is under pressure, there is an old playbook: close underperforming stores, remodel the remaining stores, simplify the operation, improve service, invest in employees, refresh the menu, increase marketing—and then tell Wall Street that the turnaround is working.

That playbook can work.

But consumers don't buy turnaround plans.

Consumers buy coffee, food, convenience, experience and value.

And that's where the Starbucks story becomes considerably more interesting.


Starbucks announced September 24 that it would close approximately 250 additional North American coffeehouses, about 1% of its more than 18,000 North American locations. The company says the closures involve locations that cannot consistently deliver the desired customer and partner experience or that lack a path to acceptable financial performance. Starbucks also says it is accelerating toward 1,500 coffeehouse “uplifts.”

That sounds like classic portfolio management.

But the bigger question for Wall Street is:

Is Starbucks fixing stores—or is the coffee consumer changing faster than the Starbucks playbook?

Four food-marketing facts Wall Street should examine

1. Coffee consumers are increasingly buying specialty coffee—but that does not automatically mean Starbucks

The National Coffee Association's 2025 data found that 66% of American adults drank coffee on the previous day, while specialty coffee reached a record 48% of adults, up from 37% in 2021.

Even more interesting, specialty coffee drinkers were more likely than traditional coffee drinkers to have coffee prepared outside the home.

That's a huge opportunity.

But it is an opportunity for the coffee category, not necessarily a guarantee for Starbucks.

Consumers have more choices than ever: independent coffee shops, drive-thru specialists, convenience stores, regional chains, fast-food restaurants and increasingly sophisticated foodservice programs.

The coffee consumer is not waiting for one brand to tell them where to drink coffee.

2. Convenience has become part of the coffee product

Coffee isn't simply coffee anymore.

It is coffee + speed + location + portability + customization + food + technology.

NCA data reported in 2025 showed that 85% of past-day coffee drinkers consumed coffee at breakfast, 82% consumed it at home, and the average coffee drinker consumed nearly three cups per day.

That means Starbucks isn't competing only with another coffeehouse.

It is competing for one of the consumer's daily beverage occasions.

And that competition increasingly comes from places that were never historically defined as coffee companies.

That is the Grocerant Guru's no-silos consumer principle:

Consumers don't see restaurant, grocery, convenience-store and coffee-company silos. They see a coffee occasion.

3. Starbucks' own numbers show that transactions—not just higher tickets—matter

Here is where the Starbucks turnaround deserves credit.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, Starbucks reported U.S. comparable-store sales growth of 7.9%, consisting of 4.2% transaction growth and 3.6% average-ticket growth. North American comparable sales increased 8.1%, with transactions up 4.5%. Starbucks also reported that food attachment and beverage modifications contributed to the result.

That is important.

It means the current Starbucks story cannot fairly be dismissed as simply raising prices.

Customers were coming through the doors more frequently.

Earlier in fiscal 2026, Starbucks reported U.S. comparable transactions up 4.3% in Q2, after declines in the prior-year comparison.

So, if Wall Street wants evidence that the turnaround has traction, transactions are one of the most important pieces of evidence.


But that also creates the next question:

Can Starbucks maintain transaction growth after the easiest turnaround gains have been harvested?

That is a very different question from whether a quarter looks better than the previous year.

4. Look at what the fast-growing coffee competitors are actually building

The most revealing comparison may not be Starbucks versus Starbucks.

It may be Starbucks versus the emerging coffee occasion economy.

Dutch Bros reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 32.5% to $550.9 million, opened 48 shops during the quarter and posted 8.3% company-operated same-shop sales growth. Systemwide same-shop sales increased 5.8%. The company finished the quarter with 1,225 shops.

Scooter's Coffee reached approximately 900 stores across 32 states in early 2026 after adding 83 stores during 2025, a 10% increase following 16% growth in 2024. Its model is heavily built around drive-thru convenience, speed, menu variety and franchise-led expansion.

And 7 Brew has been expanding at extraordinary speed, reaching more than 700 locations across 38 states in 2026, according to reporting on the company's expansion.

These brands are not simply selling coffee.

They are selling a coffee occasion designed around the way consumers increasingly live.

Fast.

Portable.

Customizable.

Drive-thru friendly.

Highly beverage-focused.

And increasingly accompanied by food and snack occasions.

The Starbucks problem may not be coffee

This is where the Grocerant Guru sees the bigger food-marketing issue.

Starbucks has a powerful brand.

It has enormous scale.

It has technology.

It has loyalty.

It has thousands of locations.

And its 2026 operating results show genuine improvement.

But the competitive landscape is changing.

The consumer is increasingly asking:

“Where can I get what I want, when I want it, at a price and experience that feels worth it?”


That is the same consumer question driving the Grocerant niche.

Ready-2-Eat.

Heat-N-Eat.

Foodservice.

Convenience.

Drive-thru.

Delivery.

Coffee.

Snacks.

Breakfast.

Lunch.

Dinner.

The consumer doesn't care which corporate department owns the occasion.

The old restaurant playbook versus the new consumer playbook

The old playbook says:

Close weak stores.

The new consumer playbook says:

Why was the store weak?

The old playbook says:

Remodel the store.

The new consumer playbook says:

What does the customer actually want from the experience?

The old playbook says:

Improve the menu.

The new consumer playbook says:

Build the menu around occasions, cravings, portability and value.

The old playbook says:

Increase the average ticket.

The new consumer playbook says:

Increase the frequency of visits and the consumer's perception of value.

That distinction matters.

Starbucks itself says its 2026 North American improvement has been helped by faster service, greater consistency, warmer coffeehouses, food attachment and beverage modifications.

Those are meaningful improvements.

But they aren't proprietary.

Competitors can copy speed. Competitors can copy menu innovation. Competitors can copy loyalty. Competitors can build drive-thru units.

What cannot be copied overnight is a consumer habit.

And that is the real Wall Street question.

The Grocerant Guru's bottom line

Brian Niccol's “Back to Starbucks” strategy is producing measurable results in 2026. Starbucks has reported four consecutive quarters of comparable-sales growth, and Q3 U.S. transaction growth was positive.

So this is not a story about Starbucks simply failing.

It is a story about whether Starbucks' improvement is being confused with a fundamental change in consumer behavior.

There is a difference.

A turnaround can make an existing business better.

A consumer migration can change the competitive landscape.

And coffee is increasingly part of a much larger food-and-beverage occasion.


The Grocerant Guru's Three Questions for Wall Street

1. Are Starbucks' improving transactions evidence of sustainable consumer migration—or are they primarily the first fruits of a successful turnaround investment cycle?

2. If consumers are increasingly choosing coffee based on speed, portability, customization, food attachment and perceived value, is remodeling Starbucks stores enough to defend the brand against drive-thru specialists and nontraditional coffee competitors?

3. When Dutch Bros, Scooter's and 7 Brew are expanding their footprints while building businesses around convenience and beverage occasions, should Wall Street measure Starbucks primarily by remodeled stores—or by the consumer's next coffee occasion?

That's the question.

Because Wall Street may invest in companies, but consumers invest in habits.

And in the food business, consumer habits—not corporate presentations—ultimately write the next chapter.

Are you ready for some fresh ideations? Do your food marketing ideas look more like yesterday than tomorrow? Interested in learning how our Grocerant Guru® can edify your retail food brand while creating a platform for consumer convenient meal participation, differentiation and individualization?  Email us at: Steve@FoodserviceSolutions.us or visit: us on our social media sites by clicking one of the following links: Facebook,  LinkedIn, or Twitter