Saturday, August 22, 2026

Wendy’s Copycat Problem: Chasing Competitors Is Not a Consumer Strategy



There is a fundamental marketing lesson unfolding in the fast-food business right now according to Steven Johnson Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma WA based Foodservice Solutions® That is:

Chasing customers rarely works. Understanding consumers does.

And Wendy’s may be one of the clearest examples of what happens when a great brand begins looking sideways at competitors instead of forward at the consumer.

Wendy’s did not suddenly forget how to sell hamburgers. It appears to have lost something far more important: a clear understanding of why consumers should choose Wendy’s today.

That distinction matters.

Because consumers do not wake up in the morning thinking, “Which fast-food brand has the best competitive positioning?”

They think:

“What do I want to eat, how much do I want to spend, how fast can I get it, and will it be worth it?”

That is the consumer equation.

And increasingly, consumers are comparing Wendy’s not simply with McDonald’s or Burger King, but with every convenient food option competing for the same eating occasion.

That includes restaurants, grocery deli prepared foods, convenience stores, delivery, takeout and increasingly sophisticated ready-to-eat and heat-and-eat alternatives.

Wendy’s Has a Bigger Problem Than a Bad Quarter

The numbers are difficult to ignore.

Wendy’s reported that U.S. same-restaurant sales fell 7.0% in the second quarter of 2026, while U.S. systemwide sales declined 8.2%. Globally, systemwide sales declined 6.5%. The company generated $571 million in revenue and approximately $3.4 billion in global systemwide sales.

And this wasn't an isolated event.

In the first quarter of 2026, Wendy’s U.S. same-restaurant sales had already fallen 7.8%. For the full year 2025, U.S. same-restaurant sales declined 5.6%.


Then came the corporate consequences.

Wendy’s withdrew its 2026 financial outlook and cut its quarterly dividend from 14 cents to 7 cents per share, explicitly creating additional financial flexibility to invest in its turnaround.

Meanwhile, the company is shrinking its U.S. restaurant base. Wendy’s ended Q2 with 5,724 U.S. restaurants, compared with 5,967 a year earlier—a net reduction of 243 locations.

And now Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management is reportedly leading a consortium considering a bid to take Wendy’s private. Reuters reported that Peltz owns a 16.24% stake in Wendy’s and that shares jumped roughly 12% following the news.

That's not a branding problem anymore.

That's a business model warning light.

The Copycat Trap

The biggest strategic danger for an established restaurant brand is not necessarily bad food.

It is becoming derivative.

When a competitor introduces a successful value platform, you create one.

When a competitor launches a viral product, you launch one.

When a competitor improves its digital experience, you improve yours.

When a competitor talks about quality, you talk about quality.

When everyone talks about value, you talk about value.

Pretty soon, every brand begins sounding like every other brand.

That is what I call the Copycat Branding Trap.


The problem with copycat ideation is that it asks:

“What is our competitor doing that we should also do?”

Consumer-led ideation asks a completely different question:

“What problem is the consumer trying to solve, and what can we do better than anyone else to solve it?”

Those are not the same marketing questions.

And they produce very different businesses.

Wendy’s Once Had Something Competitors Couldn't Easily Copy

Wendy’s historically had a powerful point of difference.

Fresh beef. Made-to-order square hamburgers. Dave Thomas. Frosty. A distinctive brand voice.

The company itself continues to describe its brand around its quality heritage and fresh-beef positioning.

That is brand equity.


But brand equity only has value when consumers can still see, taste, feel and understand the difference.

Wendy’s current CEO Bob Wright acknowledged precisely this challenge, saying the company's traffic, value proposition and franchisee economics were not meeting expectations. The turnaround plan is focused on rebuilding a quality menu with compelling value, marketing, operational excellence, digital experience and restaurants as an engine for growth.

In other words, Wendy's knows it has to reconnect the brand promise with the consumer experience.

That is the right direction.

But it also raises the question:

Why did the brand have to get this far away from the consumer in the first place?

Consumers Don't Buy "Marketing Strategies"

This is where many restaurant marketers get trapped.

They talk about:

·       value architecture

·       menu optimization

·       promotional calendars

·       competitive pricing

·       brand positioning

·       traffic-driving initiatives

·       digital engagement

·       daypart optimization

All of those things matter.

But the consumer doesn't buy any of them.

The consumer buys lunch.

The consumer buys dinner.

The consumer buys a snack.

The consumer buys convenience.

The consumer buys an experience.

The consumer buys something because it looks good, smells good, tastes good, feels affordable and solves an immediate need.


Technomic's 2026 State of the Menu research makes the point clearly: consumers remain highly focused on value, but operators are increasingly looking beyond price toward better experiences, signature products consumers cannot easily replicate at home and products that create social-media interest.

That's an important distinction.

Value is not necessarily cheap.

Value is the consumer's perception that what they receive is worth what they paid.

Burger King Offers an Important Lesson

There is an interesting irony in Wendy's current situation.

Burger King has been rebuilding its business by doing something that looks competitive on the surface—but is actually more consumer-focused underneath.

Burger King invested heavily in restaurant improvements, food quality, marketing and the Whopper.

In Q2 2026, Burger King U.S. same-store sales reportedly increased 8.5%, while Wendy's declined 7.0%.

That is a 15.5-percentage-point performance gap between the two brands in the same quarter.

Burger King also overtook Wendy's to reclaim the No. 2 position among U.S. burger chains by systemwide sales, ending Wendy's six-year run in the position.

But here's what marketers should notice:

Burger King's comeback was not simply about copying Wendy's.

It was about making the Whopper matter again.

That is a very different strategy.


Improve the thing consumers already associate with you.

Make it better.

Make it easier to understand.

Make it worth talking about.

Make the experience more consistent.

Then give consumers a reason to come back.

That is consumer-led brand building.

The Restaurant Industry Has Become a Giant Food Channel

This is where the Grocerant Guru® perspective becomes especially important.

The restaurant industry no longer competes only with restaurants.

Food channels have blurred.

Consumers can purchase a restaurant-quality sandwich from a restaurant.

They can purchase prepared food from a grocery deli.

They can buy a hot meal from a convenience store.

They can order delivery.

They can pick up a meal through a drive-thru.

They can buy a refrigerated meal and heat it at home.

They can even assemble a meal from multiple retail channels.

Technomic's 2026 Top 500 report puts the scale of the competition into perspective: America's Top 500 restaurant chains generated more than $450 billion in sales across more than 240,000 locations in 2025, representing more than 5% of annual U.S. consumer retail spending. Yet growth slowed to approximately 3%, with low-single-digit growth expected again in 2026.

The market is enormous.

But it is also increasingly crowded.

Every eating occasion is contested.

That means restaurant marketers have to stop asking:

"How do we steal Burger King's customers?"


And start asking:

"Why does this consumer need us today?"

Chasing Customers Is the Wrong Objective

There is an important difference between customer acquisition and consumer relevance.

Customer acquisition says:

Get them in the restaurant.

Consumer relevance says:

Give them a reason to choose you.

Customer acquisition says:

Run another promotion.

Consumer relevance says:

Create an offer that solves a real need.

Customer acquisition says:

Copy what is working for the competition.

Consumer relevance says:

Own something consumers cannot get anywhere else.

Customer acquisition is often transactional.

Consumer relevance is relational.

And in today's foodservice marketplace, relationships are becoming more valuable because switching costs are virtually nonexistent.

A consumer can drive past Wendy's and stop at McDonald's.

They can skip both and go to Burger King.

They can stop at a convenience store.

They can order DoorDash.

They can go to the grocery store.

They can eat leftovers.

The consumer has more choices than ever.

So the brand has to earn the eating occasion.

Wendy's Doesn't Need to Become More Like Everybody Else

Wendy's needs to become more Wendy's—only more relevant to today's consumer.

That means rediscovering its own competitive DNA.

Fresh.

Quality.

Craveability.

Value.

Personality.

Speed.

Convenience.

Digital accessibility.

Consistency.

And perhaps most importantly:

A reason to care.

The answer is not necessarily another Biggie Bag.

The answer is understanding what consumers want from the Biggie Bag.

Is it affordability?

Portion satisfaction?

Family sharing?

Lunch convenience?

A recognizable meal?

A way to control spending?

A reason to treat themselves?

Those are consumer insights.

The product is merely the delivery mechanism.

Grocerant Guru® Bottom Line

Wendy's current crisis should be studied by every restaurant CEO, CMO, franchisee and food marketer—not because Wendy's is uniquely bad, but because almost every established restaurant brand is vulnerable to the same trap.

When competitors become the reference point for strategy, the brand slowly loses its own point of view.

And when brands lose their point of view, consumers lose their reason to care.

Wendy's doesn't need to win the marketing imitation game.

It needs to win the consumer's eating occasion.

That requires a different kind of ideation.

Not:

“What should Wendy's copy?”

But:

“What does the consumer want that Wendy's can deliver better?”

That's where the next generation of restaurant growth will come from.

 


Three Insights From the Grocerant Guru®

1. Stop Chasing Customers—Start Chasing Consumer Problems

Customers are not owned.

They are rented one eating occasion at a time.

The brands that win will identify the consumer problem—time, price, portability, convenience, quality, indulgence, health, socialization or simply hunger—and solve it better than the alternatives.

2. Your Competitor Is No Longer Your Biggest Competitor

The biggest competitor is the consumer's next food decision.

That decision could be McDonald's, Burger King, Wendy's, Costco, a grocery deli, 7-Eleven, a meal kit, leftovers or a restaurant delivery order.

Restaurant marketers need to think in terms of share of stomach and share of eating occasions, not merely share of burger sales.

3. Copycats Can Copy Products—They Can't Easily Copy Consumer Love

A competitor can copy your price.

They can copy your packaging.

They can copy your promotion.

They can copy your menu architecture.

They can copy your advertising style.

But they cannot easily copy a brand that consumers genuinely believe understands them.

That is the difference between a restaurant that is chasing customers and a restaurant that is building consumers.

And that, in my view, is the real lesson from Wendy's in 2026:

The future belongs to the food brands that stop watching their competitors—and start watching their consumers.

Steven Johnson, The Grocerant Guru®, is the founder of Foodservice Solutions® and a food marketing strategist focused on the convergence of restaurants, grocery, convenience and prepared food—the Grocerant niche.





Friday, August 21, 2026

THE CUSTOMER HAS LEFT THE BUILDING: Why Chain Restaurants Are Losing Share of Stomach to C-Stores, Grocers, and Anyone Else Willing to FOLLOW THE CONSUMER

 


When consumers are hungry, they want to eat.

They do not stop and ask whether the food is being sold by a restaurant, grocery store, convenience store, drug store, dollar store, food truck, airport, train station, gas station—or increasingly, somewhere they never considered a foodservice destination before.

They simply ask: “What can I get, where can I get it, how fast can I get it, what will it cost, and will I like it?”

That is the inconvenient truth many chain restaurant executives still refuse to confront.

According to Steven Johnson, Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma, WA-based Foodservice Solutions®, the consumer is dynamic, not static—and the food industry continues to build strategies around a consumer who no longer exists.

The biggest threat to legacy chain restaurants isn't another restaurant.

It is the consumer's willingness to buy food anywhere.

And that means the traditional definition of a restaurant competitor is obsolete.


Channel Blurring Isn't the Problem. Channel Blindness Is.

I first began talking about channel blurring more than a decade ago.

Today, I would argue that channel blurring isn't even the right term anymore.

There are no channels in the consumer's mind. There are only occasions.

Hungry? Find food.

Need breakfast? Find food.

Need dinner for the family? Find food.

Need something portable between meetings? Find food.

Need something at 10 p.m.? Find food.

Need something inexpensive? Find food.

Need something fresh, fast and convenient? Find food.

The consumer doesn't care about the organizational chart separating a QSR from a c-store, a supermarket deli, a dollar store or a restaurant delivery platform.

Those boundaries exist inside corporate headquarters—not inside the consumer's stomach.

And the data increasingly proves it.


Circana reported that U.S. foodservice operator spending reached $357.3 billion for the 12 months ending June 2025, up 3.7% year over year, even as the number of foodservice cases increased only 0.9%. In other words, the industry is generating more dollars in an environment where transaction growth is considerably harder to find.

That should be a giant warning sign for every restaurant CEO, CMO and chief merchandising officer.

When customers aren't necessarily making more foodservice visits, every visit becomes a battle for share of stomach.

Meanwhile, the Convenience Store Industry Is Eating the Restaurant Industry's Lunch

Here is where restaurant executives should really start paying attention.

In 2025, U.S. convenience-store foodservice accounted for 28.5% of total in-store sales and 38.9% of in-store gross profit dollars.

Prepared food alone represented 73.9% of convenience-store foodservice sales, including pizza, chicken, burgers, sandwiches, wraps and salads.

Read those numbers again.

Convenience stores aren't simply selling gasoline with a few hot dogs beside the register.

Foodservice has become a core economic engine of the convenience-store business.

And this isn't a one-year experiment.

NACS reports that foodservice represented only 11.9% of convenience-store in-store sales in 2005. By 2025, it represented 28.5%.

That is not channel blurring.

That is channel migration.

And the consumer is doing the migrating.

The Customer Doesn't Need Your Restaurant Anymore

That is the uncomfortable part.

For decades, restaurant operators could rely on location, habit, brand recognition and routine.

The consumer's food decision was comparatively simple:

Where do I normally eat?


Today the question is different:

What is the best food solution for me right now?

That shift changes everything.

Circana reported in 2025 that value-menu traffic increased 1% across the foodservice industry in the quarter ending June 2025 while overall restaurant traffic declined 1%. Circana also found that 50% of consumers who had not recently dined out said lower prices would encourage them to visit restaurants, increasing to 54% among households earning less than $75,000.

But here is where restaurant marketers need to think beyond price.

Value is no longer synonymous with cheap.

Value is the consumer's calculation of:

Price + Quality + Convenience + Experience + Portability + Relevance.

That is why a $7 meal from a convenience store can compete with a $10 or $12 restaurant meal.

It isn't necessarily because it is better food.

It may simply be better food for that particular occasion.

And that distinction is enormous.

The Restaurant Industry Is Still Measuring the Wrong Battlefield

The restaurant industry has become remarkably sophisticated at measuring restaurants.

Same-store sales.

Average check.

Ticket times.

Labor costs.

Food costs.

Drive-thru times.

Digital orders.

App downloads.

Loyalty members.

But the consumer doesn't measure your restaurant that way.

The consumer compares you with everything else available at the moment of need.


That includes the supermarket deli.

The c-store.

The warehouse club.

The dollar store.

The coffee shop.

The food truck.

The ghost kitchen.

The delivery platform.

The frozen-food aisle.

The ready-to-eat meal in a grocery store.

The heat-and-eat dinner waiting at home.

And every other food option competing for the same stomach.

The restaurant industry's most dangerous competitor may not have a restaurant.



The Numbers Are Already Moving

Circana reported that U.S. restaurant traffic declined 0.3% in 2025, while global foodservice traffic increased only 0.2%. At the same time, average spending per visit continued to rise, including a 3% increase in average spend per visit during the fourth quarter of 2025.

That creates a deceptively attractive situation.

Sales dollars can grow while customer counts remain under pressure.

And that is precisely why chain restaurant executives should stop celebrating topline growth without asking the more important question:

How many customers did we actually win?

Revenue can be inflated by price.

Average check can increase because consumers are paying more.

But customer counts tell you whether people are actually choosing your brand.


Share of stomach is ultimately won customer by customer, occasion by occasion.

Wawa Shouldn't Be an Anomaly. It Should Be a Wake-Up Call.

Years ago, research highlighted something that shocked many traditional restaurant executives: consumers could evaluate a convenience-store foodservice experience more favorably than service at prestigious restaurant brands.

The lesson wasn't that a convenience store had suddenly become a fine-dining restaurant.

The lesson was far more important.

Consumers judge brands against the expectations of the occasion—not against the organizational category in which the company places itself.

A customer doesn't say:

“This is a c-store, therefore I will accept inferior service.”

They say:

“I got what I wanted quickly, it tasted good, it was convenient, the price made sense and the experience worked.”

Expectation met. Value delivered. Customer satisfied.

That's the competition.

The C-Store Has Learned What Many Restaurants Forgot

The convenience-store industry understands something that many legacy restaurant brands have forgotten:

Convenience is not a feature. Convenience is the business model.

In 2025, the U.S. convenience industry generated $341.2 billion in in-store sales and merchandise, up 1.7% from 2024. NACS also reports approximately 160 million convenience-store transactions every day.

Think about that.


The c-store industry has millions of opportunities every day to say:

“We have food.”

And increasingly, that food is fresh, prepared, portable and ready now.

Restaurant marketers should not dismiss that as a gas-station strategy.

They should recognize it as a consumer strategy.

The New Foodservice Battlefield Is Share of Stomach

At Foodservice Solutions®, we have long described this as Share of Stomach.

You are either:

Garnering share of stomach

or

Capitulating share of stomach.

There is very little middle ground.

Every time a consumer chooses a prepared sandwich at a convenience store instead of your restaurant, that is share of stomach.

Every time a consumer buys a rotisserie chicken and prepared sides at a supermarket instead of ordering dinner, that is share of stomach.

Every time a consumer buys a heat-and-eat meal, that is share of stomach.

Every time someone substitutes a snack-sized meal, coffee-and-food combination, grocery deli meal or portable breakfast for a traditional restaurant occasion, that is share of stomach.

The consumer hasn't stopped eating.

The consumer has simply expanded the definition of where eating happens according to the Steven Johnson. 



The Restaurant Brand Model Needs a Reboot

The old restaurant model essentially said:

Build restaurants → advertise restaurants → drive customers to restaurants.

The emerging model must say:

Identify the consumer occasion → identify the consumer need → create the food solution → make it available where and when the consumer wants it → remove friction → build loyalty.

That is a radically different business model.

And it requires restaurant executives to stop asking:

“How do we get customers into our restaurant?”

and start asking:

“Where is our customer eating when they aren't eating with us—and why?”

That is the question worth millions.

Circana's 2025 audience-targeting expansion underscores the point: foodservice marketers can now target not only their own customers but consumers who visit competing restaurant brands and convenience-store foodservice.

In other words, the technology now exists to follow the consumer across foodservice brands.

The question is whether restaurant executives have the courage to do it.


Stop Protecting the Brand. Start Protecting the Customer.

Brand protectionism was once a powerful strategy.

Today, excessive brand protectionism can become brand isolation.

If the consumer wants portability, give them portability.

If they want personalization, give them personalization.

If they want value, redefine value.

If they want speed, engineer speed.

If they want fresh food outside traditional meal periods, create fresh food outside traditional meal periods.

If they want restaurant-quality food somewhere other than a restaurant, figure out how your brand gets there.

The National Restaurant Association's 2025 research found that 64% of full-service customers and 47% of limited-service customers said the dining experience was more important than price. At the same time, 47% of operators planned to add discounts, deals or value promotions to drive traffic.

That creates an important strategic distinction:

"Price may get the customer to look.

Value gets the customer to choose.

Experience gets the customer to return. (Johnson)


The Five P's Are Not Dead—Your Interpretation of Them Might Be

Foodservice Solutions® has long challenged restaurant and retail food marketers to think differently about the FIVE P's of Food Marketing.

Price remains important.

But price alone won't save a brand.

The winning equation is about connecting the right Product, Price, Place, Promotion and Portability to the consumer's immediate need.

And portability deserves special attention.

Because today's consumer increasingly wants food that travels.

Food that fits into the car.

Food that fits into a meeting.

Food that fits into a commute.

Food that fits into a child's schedule.

Food that fits into a workday.

Food that fits into a couch.

The meal is no longer necessarily an event at a table.

It is increasingly a participant in the consumer's life.

The Customer Has Already Moved

The biggest mistake a restaurant CEO can make in 2026 is assuming that consumers are waiting for the industry to catch up.

They aren't.

They have already moved.

They have moved across channels.

Across dayparts.

Across meal occasions.

Across formats.

Across price points.

Across retailers.

Across digital platforms.

Across traditional definitions of foodservice.

The consumer isn't confused.

The consumer is liberated.

It is the industry that is confused.

So I will repeat something I have said for years:

Channel blurring exists only in the blind eye of the brand manager. It does not exist in the mind's eye—or stomach—of the consumer.

The consumer sees food.

The consumer sees convenience.

The consumer sees value.

The consumer sees choice.

And the consumer votes with their wallet.

The restaurant brands that understand this will build a larger Share of Stomach.

Those that don't will continue explaining why their customer counts are declining while congratulating themselves because the average check is higher.

"That isn't growth.

That's capitulation disguised as growth. (Johnson) 

 


Three Insights From the Grocerant Guru®

1. Stop Measuring Restaurants. Start Measuring Food Occasions.

Your real competitive set isn't the restaurants listed in your category report. It is every place your customer can satisfy the same eating occasion. If your competitive analysis doesn't include c-stores, grocery deli, dollar stores, delivery, ready-to-eat and heat-and-eat meals, your competitive analysis is incomplete.

2. Your Customer Count Is More Important Than Your Corporate Story.

A higher average check can make a declining customer base look healthier than it really is. Track customer acquisition, customer retention, frequency and Share of Stomach alongside sales and margin. If you are losing customers while raising prices, eventually the math catches up with you.

3. Build the Food Brand Around the Consumer—Not the Building.

The restaurant used to be the destination.

Today, the consumer is the destination.

Build food that travels. Build meals that fit the occasion. Build value that means more than a discount. Build technology around convenience. Build menus around individualization. And most importantly, build a business model capable of following the consumer wherever the consumer chooses to eat next.

Consumers are dynamic, not static.

Your brand must be dynamic too—or someone else's brand will eat your lunch.

Interested in learning how Foodservice Solutions® can edify your retail food brand while creating a platform for consumer convenience, meal participation, differentiation and individualization?

Contact Steven Johnson, Grocerant Guru®, at Steve@FoodserviceSolutions.us or visit Foodservice Solutions®.

The question isn't whether the customer has moved.

The question is whether your brand moved with them.