Reoccurring Customer Visits Drive Incremental Revenue Faster

 

The growth algorithm across all sectors of food retail—restaurants, convenience stores, and grocery service delis—has converged on one immutable truth according to Steven Johnson Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice Solutions®:  frequency of visits is the most reliable driver of incremental revenue and long-term profitability.

What was once a convenience-store insight is now a cross-channel mandate.

A recent study from Vontier found that just 24% of customers (“Super-Users”) account for a disproportionate share of visits and revenue, driven not by discounts, but by habit, familiarity, and emotional connection. That behavioral pattern is not isolated—it is replicating across restaurant chains and grocery foodservice operations.

 

The Cross-Sector Frequency Flywheel

Whether the platform is a convenience store, quick-service restaurant, fast casual concept, or grocery deli, the economic model is identical:

·       More visits = more occasions

·       More occasions = more attachment opportunities

·       More attachment = higher lifetime value

The question is no longer “How do we increase ticket?”
The question is “How do we earn the next visit—tomorrow?”

 

Convenience Stores: From Transactional to Habitual

The Vontier data highlights five drivers of repeat visits—familiarity, safety, food relevance, bundling, and dwell time—all of which are now baseline expectations.

Operators like 7-Eleven and Wawa have proven that digital ecosystems combined with strong food offerings drive higher visit frequency. Meanwhile, Sheetz continues to win with younger consumers by delivering customized, daypart-driven food experiences, not just fuel stops.

 

Restaurant Sector: Engineering Daily Relevance

Restaurants have been highly effective at engineering frequency into daily routines.

At Starbucks, more than half of U.S. transactions are tied to its loyalty platform, but the real driver is ritual behavior—morning coffee, afternoon recharge, and mobile order convenience. Frequency is built into the customer’s day.

McDonald's has focused on value platforms and digital ordering, increasing visit frequency through expanded dayparts such as breakfast, snacks, and late night.

Fast casual leaders like Chipotle Mexican Grill report that digital customers visit more often than non-digital users, driven by ease of use and customization.

Subscription models are also reshaping behavior. Panera Bread has shown that beverage subscriptions significantly increase visit frequency, even when individual transactions are low in value, because they create consistent habits.

 

Grocery Service Deli: A Big Battleground

The most underappreciated—and fastest evolving—frequency driver is inside the grocery store: the service deli and prepared foods department.

Retailers are shifting from selling ingredients to providing ready-to-eat meal solutions for immediate consumption.

At Kroger, prepared foods and meal solutions are designed to capture multiple visits per week, especially around dinner. The goal is to replace restaurant visits with in-store foodservice occasions.

Whole Foods Market has positioned its prepared foods section as a restaurant alternative, offering chef-driven meals and grab-and-go options that drive frequent visits, particularly in urban markets.

Regional leaders like H-E-B have gone further by integrating restaurant-quality meals and in-store dining, blurring the line between grocery and foodservice.

Even traditional operators like Albertsons are investing in upgraded deli and prepared food programs, recognizing that fresh and ready-to-eat foods drive more trips than center-store products.

 

Food as the Universal Frequency Anchor

Across all sectors, one insight stands out:

Food is the primary driver of repeat visits.

·       In convenience stores, food drives a majority of visits among younger consumers

·       In restaurants, food is the core of daily routines

·       In grocery, prepared foods create reasons to visit beyond weekly stock-up trips

The strategic implication is clear:
Retailers that fail to build compelling ready-to-eat food programs will lose visit share, regardless of pricing strategy.

 

The New Competitive Set: Everyone Competes with Everyone

The “grocerant” reality is this:

·       Grocery stores compete with restaurants for dinner

·       Restaurants compete with convenience stores for convenience

·       Convenience stores compete with grocery for value and speed

Consumers are not loyal to channels—they are loyal to solutions that meet their immediate needs.

 

Data-Driven Patterns Across Sectors

·       Starbucks: High-frequency users drive disproportionate revenue through habit-based visits

·       McDonald's: Digital engagement increases repeat visits and expands dayparts

·       Kroger: Prepared foods increase weekly trip frequency

·       7-Eleven: Loyalty and mobile ordering increase visit cadence

·       Panera Bread: Subscription programs turn occasional users into frequent visitors

 

The Grocerant Guru® Perspective: Frequency Is the Only Scalable Growth Lever

From Tacoma, Washington to markets across the country, the pattern is consistent:

You do not win by being cheaper.
You win by being chosen more often.

That requires building what I call Frequency Infrastructure:

1.       Daypart relevance – breakfast, lunch, snacks, dinner, late night

2.       Meal solutions – convenient, portable, and appealing

3.       Digital enablement – easy ordering, payment, and rewards

4.       Emotional connection – familiarity, trust, and consistency

 

Three Grocerant Guru® Insights

1. Frequency is channel-agnostic
Success is not about format. It is about becoming part of the customer’s routine.

2. The service deli is the new restaurant
Grocery growth will come from fresh, prepared, ready-to-eat foods—not packaged goods.

3. Habit beats promotion every time
Discounts may drive a single visit. Habits drive long-term behavior and higher lifetime value.

 

Think About This

The food industry is no longer segmented—it is fully converged.

And in this environment, reoccurring customer visits are the fastest way to drive incremental revenue.

Because the most valuable customer is not the one who spends the most today—

It is the one who comes back tomorrow.

Elevate Your Brand with Expert Insights

For corporate presentations, regional chain strategies, educational forums, or keynote speaking, Steven Johnson, the Grocerant Guru®, delivers actionable insights that fuel success.

With deep experience in restaurant operations, brand positioning, and strategic consulting, Steven provides valuable takeaways that inspire and drive results.

Visit GrocerantGuru.com or FoodserviceSolutions.US Call 1-253-759-7869

Restaurant and Convenience Stores Consumers Visits Declining

 

The consumer is telling us the cost of everything can’t keep going up.  Consumers are cutting back on visits to their favorite restaurants and convenience store.  If you are a retailer that means less money, in the till, less profit in the back at the end of the month.  The questions Steven Johnson, Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice Solutions® continues to ask is; How are you going to get those customer visits back? How long are you going to wait before you try to get them back? 

Those lost customers are not eating less they are simply eating somewhere else according to Johnson. In a new survey released by NACS revealed that over the past three months, 59% of retailers said their customer traffic has decreased in stores, likely in large part due to high gas prices.

Regular readers of this blog know that convenience stores, which sell an estimated 80% of the fuel purchased in the U.S., rely on in-store sales, not fuel sales, to drive profits. But high gas prices are hurting customer traffic in stores and basket size: Nearly half of all retailers (49%) also say that those customers coming inside the store are buying less compared to three months ago when gas prices were $1.50 a gallon lower.

Retailer in that study also expressed concerns that elevated gas prices could also depress sales over the traditionally busy summer-drive season: 53% say they expect sales to be lower this summer than last summer, with only 25% anticipating increased sales.

So, we also consumers are more willing to cut out visits to restaurants and bars as a result of inflation than they are to take other steps to cut the cost of their regular food bill, according to data from a new survey released on Tuesday.

Just look at some more facts, 80% of U.S. consumers said they are eating out less often as a result of inflation, according to a Morning Consult survey. And about three-quarters said they are going out to bars less often.

Now consider this, 72% said they were purchasing less meat and 68% said they were buying less alcohol, according to the survey. Overall, more than half of U.S. adults said they have changed their eating and drinking habits because of inflation.

Yet there is more, According to Placer.ai, visits to full-service restaurants have fallen dramatically in recent weeks while quick-service visits continued to grow, which the data firm suggested could be due to a “trade down” from more expensive restaurants to lower priced options.

The Consumer Price Index rose 1% in May from April, and 8.6% over the past year. Retail food prices are up nearly 12% over the past year and prices on many basics have taken off: Gas is up by 50% over the past year while energy prices are up nearly 35%.

The higher prices are squeezing ordinary Americans even as wages rise, raising concerns that consumers could cut back and help throw the economy into a recession.

Restaurant menu prices are not rising nearly as much as retail food prices, which help to backstop demand—food-away-from-home prices were up 7.4% annually last month, though prices at full-service restaurants rose 9%.

Ninety-three percent of economists said inflation has peaked, according to a survey earlier this month by SIFMA, a trade association representing investment bankers and asset managers. But 78% of economists said there is at least a 15% chance that the economy faces “structurally higher inflation” for three years or more.

And 80% of economists said there is a bigger risk of “stagflation,” a combination of economic stagnation and strong inflation. According to Morning Consult, lower-income consumers have been more likely to say they have made adjustments. The survey found that those with children under 18 at home and those with household incomes less than $50,000 have been more likely to make spending adjustments than others.

Women were 13 points more likely to say that they have adapted to rising inflation. Women were more likely to identify themselves as the primary grocery shopper. How are you avoiding losing customers this year?  Are you tracking your year over year customer counts?

Don’t over reach. Are you ready for some fresh ideations? Do your food marketing ideations look more like yesterday than tomorrow? Interested in learning how Foodservice Solutions® can edify your retail food brand while creating a platform for consumer convenient meal participation, differentiation and individualization?  Email us at: Steve@FoodserviceSolutions.us or visit us on our social media sites by clicking the following links: Facebook,  LinkedIn, or Twitter