The
convenience-store (C-store) industry is undergoing a strategic reinvention.
With RaceTrac’s announced purchase of Potbelly for roughly $566 million,
the once-clear boundary between quick-service restaurants (QSRs) and C-stores
is blurring fast according to Steven
Johnson Grocerant Guru® at Tacoma, WA based Foodservice Solutions®.
Acquisitions are now a front-row play for C-store operators that want rapid
scale in prepared-food capabilities and stronger margin engines.
Quick snapshot — why the timing matters (hard numbers)
·
Prepared-food sales are a powerful
growth engine: prepared foods in c-stores rose ~12.2% YoY in 2023 and
continue to outpace many other categories.
·
Foodservice’s share of c-store
economics: foodservice is approaching ~29% of in-store revenue and
contributes roughly 40% of in-store gross profit — meaning food drives
disproportionate profitability.
·
Scale of the channel: the U.S. market
still counts ~152,000 convenience stores, making the C-store footprint
an attractive rapid distribution network for restaurant concepts.
These
numbers explain why RaceTrac’s $566M purchase of a sandwich chain is not an
outlier — it’s the opening act in a broader strategy for growth and margin
capture.
Five C-store operators most likely to buy a chain
restaurant (and why)
I
picked these operators based on scale, food strategy, previous M&A
activity, and inside-sales performance.
1. 7-Eleven
— Global scale, heavy private-label and fresh innovations; buying a restaurant
brand fast-tracks elevated food offerings into thousands of locations.
2. Wawa
— A brand already built on made-to-order food; acquiring a recognizable
quick-casual brand would broaden menu depth and accelerate loyalty programs. (
3. Casey’s General Stores
— Proven willingness to buy (recent large purchases) and inside margins in the
food business already near ~40%, showing the economics work. Adding
restaurant brands expands catering/restaurant-style sales.
4. Circle K /
Couche-Tard — Global operator with capital and
distribution; a strategic acquisition would strengthen U.S. foodservice
credentials.
5. Murphy
USA / Regional fuel-retailers — Historically fuel-centric, these
operators need higher margin in-store sales to mitigate fuel volatility and can
use restaurant brands to elevate the customer trip.
Three reasons C-stores will prefer buying restaurants over
building them
1. Speed
to credible menu & brand — Acquiring an established brand
brings tested recipes, franchising/operations playbooks, and consumer
awareness, shortening time to meaningful food revenue. (RaceTrac/Potbelly is a
textbook example.)
2. Higher
inside margins and profitability uplift — Prepared foods
lift both basket size and gross profit (foodservice can represent ~40% of gross
profit inside stores), improving store economics faster than categories like
packaged goods.
3. Digital
& loyalty integration at scale — Restaurant chains often come with
digital ordering and loyalty infrastructure that C-stores can plug into across
hundreds or thousands of sites, accelerating omnichannel growth.
Top five restaurant chains that make attractive targets
(with a data rationale)
These
selections balance deployability inside C-stores, menu fit for convenience
settings, unit economics, and brand awareness.
1. Potbelly
/ Sandwich concepts (example: Potbelly) — Sandwiches are
portable, margin friendly, and lend themselves to scaled integration inside
shop-in-shop or shared footprint models. (RaceTrac chose Potbelly for exactly
these reasons.)
2. Firehouse
Subs (or other deli/sandwich chains) — Proven brand, compact kitchen
requirements, strong delivery/digital mix — easy to roll into multiple store
formats. (
3. Blaze
Pizza / Fast-casual pizza concepts — Customization is a draw; pizza
equipment can be adapted to a small footprint and captures family dinner
occasions.
4. Wingstop
/ Chicken-centric chains — Strong unit economics, late-night
appeal, and elevated digital sales mean immediate incremental revenue in
high-traffic c-store zones. (
5. Fast-casual
Mexican (e.g., Qdoba-type concepts) — High check averages, efficient
assembly lines, and strong digital order numbers make these an attractive
margin play for inside kitchens.
Note:
strategic fit matters as much as brand size. Chains with compact equipment
needs, strong digital ordering, and flexible franchising models are the best
fits for C-store deployment.
Valuation & M&A context — what buyers should expect
to pay
Restaurant
valuation multiples vary by sub-sector (QSR, fast casual, full service). Public
and consultancy analyses show QSR and fast casual command higher EV/EBITDA
multiples than casual dining, though multiples have compressed or shifted
with macro conditions. Buyers like C-store operators can often justify higher
multiples through synergies — expanded distribution, higher average unit
economics, and cross-selling in existing stores. Expect strategic buyers to pay
premiums when the chain accelerates distribution (as RaceTrac did for
Potbelly).
What the Grocerant
Guru® sees next — strategic signals and
consumer drivers
The
Grocerant Guru’s take (synthesizing the data above):
1. Channel
migration is consumer-led, not retailer-led. Shoppers choose
convenience for speed and restaurants for perceived quality; grocerants win by
combining both. The rapid growth of prepared foods and the outsized profit
share of foodservice inside stores proves consumers are voting with wallets.
2. Acquisitions
will cluster around menu portability, digital capabilities, and compact kitchen
footprints. Expect the next wave of deals to
prioritize brands that are plug-and-play for a 400–1,200 sq ft store
back-of-house, or for micro-kitchens integrated into forecourt formats.
3. Operational
playbooks and loyalty/data will decide winners.
The chains that can integrate digital ordering, mobile pay, and loyalty across
both restaurant and C-store experiences will grow share fastest — acquisitions
accelerate that data integration.
4. Margin
intensity will drive activity. With inside margins for prepared food
often far above traditional retail categories, strategic buyers will be willing
to pay premiums if they can quickly scale units and lift per-store food
revenue. Casey’s reported inside margins near ~41%, a real-world example
of why food matters.
Bottom line — what to expect in the next 24 months
·
More strategic, premium-priced
deals where C-stores buy distinctive fast-casual or QSR brands that can be
rapidly deployed across their footprint. (RaceTrac → Potbelly is likely the
start — not the finish.)
·
Increasing partnerships and pilot
integrations (shop-in-shop, commissary models) before full rollouts as
operators prove unit economics at scale.
·
A shifting competitive landscape where
C-stores and QSRs fight for the same “meal occasion” — convenience
operators will leverage lower real estate churn and immediate foot traffic to
steal share from smaller QSRs.
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