A Data-Driven Holiday Report from the Grocerant Guru®
Every
year more consumers migrate toward the Grocerant—that powerful
intersection of grocery, restaurant, and convenience retail—when deciding how
to feed the family on Thanksgiving. This year, new research from Popmenu
once again confirms the trend: consumers want great food, less work, and a
better value.
But
the real story?
The battle between Time vs. Price vs. Cleanup has become the defining driver
of Thanksgiving behavior.
And the Grocerant Guru® has been forecasting this for years.
Restaurants Rise—Because Time Is the New Currency
According
to Popmenu’s November 2025 nationwide study of 1,000 U.S. consumers, 53% of
Americans will order takeout or delivery for Thanksgiving—an astonishing
jump from 37% in 2024 and 32% in 2023. Another 5% will dine in.
The
Grocerant Guru® perspective:
Consumers aren’t simply “ordering food.”
They’re trading hours of prep and cleanup for a frictionless, fully
composed meal solution.
Key
Drivers Behind the Shift (Popmenu data):
·
63% want to enjoy the
day—not cook.
·
35% want to avoid
ingredient shopping and prep.
·
26% prefer a
professionally cooked meal.
·
19% say they’re simply too
busy.
Grocerant
Insight:
The average homemade Thanksgiving dinner requires 8–12 hours of prep,
cooking, serving, and cleanup. A restaurant-prepared meal requires 15
minutes of ordering and 10–20 minutes of pickup.
Consumers are doing the math—and time is winning.
Price Pressure Is Real—But Not How You Think
Popmenu
found that 59% of consumers plan to spend less this year, averaging $165
for the holiday meal.
Why?
·
69% blame expensive
groceries.
·
58% say their household
budget is tighter.
·
31% cite general
economic concern.
But
here’s the Grocerant Guru® lens:
Many Americans believe restaurant-prepared Thanksgiving meals cost the
same—or less—than buying ingredients.
And they’re often correct.
According
to current foodservice pricing indices:
·
Turkey is up 11% YoY in retail
channels.
·
Butter, eggs, and baking staples are
up 6–14%.
·
Ready-made restaurant bundles average $12.95–$18.50
per person, comparable to scratch cooking when factoring in no waste
and no cleanup.
Where Consumers Are Cutting Back
To
stretch budgets, consumers say they are:
·
39% – reducing side
dishes and desserts
·
33% – celebrating with
fewer people
·
31% – choosing cheaper
brands
·
29% – asking guests to
bring dishes
·
26% – opting for
recipes with fewer or cheaper ingredients
·
19% – serving a less
expensive main dish
And
what’s being cut from the table?
·
31% Mac ’n cheese
·
28% Cranberries
·
26% Sweet potatoes
·
23% Pumpkin pie
·
22% Corn
·
19% Green beans
·
15% Turkey
(yes—turkey!)
Grocerant
Insight:
Turkey being cut by 15% is a staggering early signal that convenience proteins
(rotisserie chicken, smoked meats, sheet-pan meals) are becoming socially
acceptable Thanksgiving centerpieces.
What Americans Are Serving Instead
Turkey
still dominates at 84%, followed by ham (46%) and chicken (19%).
But
the real disruptors?
·
15% serving lasagna or
pasta
·
Fast food on 19% of tables
·
Surge in pizza, tacos, chili, and stew
Grocerant
Insight:
Consumers are redefining Thanksgiving not as a traditional menu—but as a shared
food occasion.
That opens the door wide for grocers, C-stores, and restaurants to sell “Mix
& Match Holiday Bundles” built around time and convenience.
Time vs. Price vs. Cleanup: The Thanksgiving Equation
Popmenu’s
consumer insights illuminate what the Grocerant Guru® calls the Three Levers
of Holiday Behavior:
1. TIME
SAVED (ordering beats cooking)
2. MONEY
SAVED (restaurant bundles reduce waste & labor)
3. HEADACHE
SAVED (less stress, less mess)
Consumers
now evaluate Thanksgiving this way:
“If
cooking costs almost the same, requires hours of work, and leaves a
mountain of dishes—why not order?”
This
shift explains why grocers, C-stores, and restaurants are all reporting
double-digit growth in holiday meal kit revenue.
Grocerant Guru® Holiday Success Tips
1. Bundle Around Time Savings, Not Just Price
Promote
your offering as:
“12 hours of holiday saved—instantly.”
Consumers buy time first, food second.
2. Mix & Match Meal Components Win
Let
customers build their own “hybrid holiday.”
Side bundles, dessert pairings, protein upgrades—these now outsell full turkey
meals.
3. Shift to Portion Transparency
Consumers
want to avoid waste. Label meals by realistic servings (“Feeds 6 hungry
adults” beats “Serves 10”).
4. Highlight Cleanup Reduction
The
#1 emotional driver of restaurant-prepared holidays?
No dishes.
Use marketing that says:
“Zero Cleanup Thanksgiving.”
Think About This
As
the Popmenu study shows—and as the Grocerant Guru® has long predicted—America’s
Thanksgiving is evolving. The future belongs to the operators who understand
that consumers are not choosing between cooking and ordering…
They
are choosing between stress and ease,
between time lost and time gained,
between mess and moments that matter.
And
the Grocerant is winning that choice—one meal bundle at a time.
Ready to Find Your Next Success Clue?
We
specialize in outsourced food marketing and business development ideations—helping
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📩
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