When we said two years ago that five years from now chain
restaurant leaders will be attending the National
Restaurant Show in Chicago networking, learning and
laughing aloud about the money they wasted sending employees to Fast Casual
Summits. Laughing aloud about how a multi-billion dollar restaurant industry
missed the Consumer
Marketing Migration that took place from 1999 to 2014 we think
we are still on target.
Restaurants
Coddling Brand Protectionism
When we said two years ago that five years from now chain
restaurant leaders will wonder how Mintel, NPD and Technomic reported on but
missed the Consumer Marketing Migration. Three years from now chain
restaurant leaders will laugh at the fact that the undercurrents of the
evolving face of retail food competition has been all around yet while they
practiced brand protectionism, drug stores, C-stores and grocery stores simply
catered to the evolving consumer preferences garnering share of stomach and did
so within in the Ready-2-Eat and Heat-N-Eat fresh prepared
food grocerant niche again we were right on target.
When we said two years ago that five years from now chain
restaurant leaders will wonder why when in 2013 Technomic reported that revenue
from prepared foods at supermarkets had increased more than six percent
annually during the past five years. Why they continued to host, speak and
pontificate on Fast Casual when the consumer had migrated. More important T echnomic reported that the prepared food number grow to
13 percent for mass merchandisers and superstores
during the same period. All the while the margins on prepared food were
expanding creating a fast growing new revenue center for fresh prepared food in
this non-traditional fresh prepared food retail sector. Can you believe we were right once again.
Looking
Outside Current Boundaries
Two years ago when we said five years from now all food
retailers will evaluate how they do business not how they did business. Five
years from now chain restaurant leaders will be laughing how they missed the
universal commonalties the drug store, grocery and c-store food marketers did
not. Five years from now they will understand that successful competition comes
from outside well established operating boundaries. Ok, we were right again and
many are still not looking beyond existing boundaries but we are.
When we said five years from now no one will wonder about
the findings in a Harris Poll of 2,496 adults surveyed online between February
13 and 18, 2013 by Harris Interactive found that Americans continue to be reducing how often that they eat
out at restaurants : Fast food restaurant chain (26% less,
14% more),Local casual dining restaurant (20% less, 14% more),Casual dining
restaurant chain (24% less, 11% more),Local fine dining restaurant (21% less,
7% more),Fine dining restaurant chain (23% less, 4% more). We were right again!
Channel
Blurring
Then we went on to say that five years from now all food
marketers will understand that channel blurring exist only in the minds-eye of
legacy food marketers not in the minds-eye of consumers.
Ok we also said five years from now Food retailers will
understand the 65 Inch HDTV
Syndrome Foodservice Solutions® Grocerant Guru™
Steven Johnson found:
The line between restaurants and food retailers is
growing ever thinner. The fight for America's food dollars continues to
intensify as consumers find fresh prepared ready-2-eat food options at a wide
and growing array of outlets across almost every channel: convenience stores,
chain drug stores, restaurants, grocery stores, club stores, vending and even
more non-food retailers like dollar stores. While manufacturers, retailers and
restaurants worry about choice overload, consumers have embraced their new choices
and show no signs of returning to the old ways. This fight is taking place in
what is called the Grocerant Niche. This is not getting old, we were right once
again.
The restaurant industry is not an industry known for
trying to be first as in fastest to market with an ideation, food or technology
advance. In the United States the larger the chain in almost all cases the more
slowly they are to adopt something than a smaller chain or independent
restaurants will. Chain restaurants goal is simple feed one meal at a time in
the restaurant while protecting and edifying the brand.
Historically chain restaurant leaders have denied the
credibility of start-up competitors as non-relevant. The pizza sector is a
great example; evolving from family dinning independents to national chain of
"Red Roof" Italian, then to delivery only outlets and now
take-N-bake is garnering market share in the pizza sector. (Note: Home
Made Pizza Company and Papa
Murphy's are further examples of take and bake
pizza operators.)
Evolving
Trends Point to an Increase in Non-Traditional Meal Occasions
Yes when we said that five years from now at the
intersection of the consumer,
fresh prepared food and technology they will have found that consumer eating
behavior is evolving and is now beyond the control of traditional food
marketers. Evolving culture and lifestyle, demographics along with the new
uncertain economy are all putting pressure on the American food consumer:
Demands of work, economic shrinkage, demands of raising a family, commuting,
social interaction, kid's after-school activities, all contribute to a food
marketplace where convenience vies with price over legacy brands. That one in
10 shoppers choose higher-end cuts of meat in order to recreate a restaurant
dining experience (FMI, 2013). Looks as if we were right once again, ok I’m not
getting tired of this. Could your team
use some outside eyes? 253-759-7869
Advances
in Packaging Largely Ignored
We went on to point out that five years from now
restaurant chain leaders will understand that packaging advances help create
new points of non-traditional food distribution have empowered consumer choice,
and American embraced these choices even as legacy marketers cringe. Who's
after restaurant food dollars? Simply put everyone.
Why should you care if Walgreens is selling fresh
prepared Ready-2-Eat and Made-2-Order sandwiches? Why should you care if Whole
Foods, Trader Joe's, Safeway and Wegmans are selling ready-2-eat and or
heat-N-eat fresh pizza? Why should you care if Coinstar is selling Seattle Best Coffee at 1,000 locations for $1.00?
We said that you should care because they are selling it,
and you are not! The fastest growing sector of retail food service for the past
four years has been the Convenience store sector. The C-store sectors growth in
large part has been driven by fresh prepared food. Non-traditional
avenues of distribution are growing, gobbling market share while establishing
new patterns of consumption, price points and customer loyalty.
The
Shopper is in Driving New Retail Food Formats
Trader Joe's and Whole Foods have created ready-2-eat and
heat-N-eat fresh prepared food items with qualitative differentiation as an
entity with identity that has help propel them into ready-2-eat fresh prepared
food leadership. In fact recent research shows that both Trader Joe's and Whole
Foods are each known for high quality (restaurant quality) ready-2-eat and
heat-N-eat foods with distinctive offerings. More important each is leading
with innovative products and package size that create value and have positioned
each chain as a food shopping destination for meal components customized
and personalized for immediate consumption or mix and matched for a meal time
at home. In short they are stealing your customers.
Walgreens
fresh prepared food is restaurant quality, priced less than
Panera Bread or Corner Bakery Café according to consumers reports. Both Panera
Bread and Corner
Bakery CAFE thrive in urban locations. Walgreens is now
growing price, quality and speed of service advantages over legacy retailers.
Legacy restaurant chains must reconsider the speed at which they evolve and
adapt or non-traditional outlets will capture profits margins as well.
Traditional views of meals and mealtime can pretty much
be discarded. Legacy retailers waiting for the "next big thing" to
copy simply might be out of luck this time. Legacy food retailers may not like
to be first movers very much but it may prove that waiting too long will not
work this time.
Foodservice
Solutions® 5 P's are: Product, Packaging, Placement, Portability, and Price
The retail food world is evolving at an ever increasing
pace filled with innovation in food, portion size, points of distribution, and
quality fresh prepared meal solutions. The price, value, service equilibrium is
resetting in retail foodservice. In order to edify the brand and reinforce
consumer relevance restaurateurs must leverage Foodservice Solutions® 5P's
of food marketing.
Many legacy food retailers continue to practice brand
protectionism, stifle the brand while diminishing consumer relevance. The
consumer is dynamic not static. Brands must be dynamic, evolving with the consumer.
Four more years of watching other retail sectors thrive should be long enough.
Success in the restaurant world is no longer simply about what happens within
your 4 walls. Need Help?
Steven Johnson is the Grocerant Guru™ at Tacoma, WA based www.FoodserviceSolutions.us
with extensive experience as a multi-unit operator,
consulting, brand, and product positioning expert. Call 253-759-7869 visit http://www.linkedin.com/in/grocerant or
twitter.com/grocerant for more information of consulting.
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