Aldi and Lidl are set to grow in the United States in 2016 and they will
thrive in the US by next Christmas 2016. Foodservice Solutions® Grocerant Guru®
often says “Success does leave clues”. There is one clue no one in the United States
grocery retail sector can overlook. That
clue is that next year both Aldi and Lidl will have stores open in the US and
will drive down the cost of both traditional Thanksgiving and Christmas Meals
and consumers adoption to both brans will increase.
So, where does the clue come from? Joanne Denney-Finch, chief executive of
IGD (IGD is a grocery think tank). Here
is what they have found in Europe where both Aldi and Lidl are based and
grounded in growing sales success and customer migration.
IGD found that in Great Britain 70pc of shoppers are expected to split their Christmas food shopping between the
supermarkets with seven in 10 visiting the discounters Aldi and Lidl. Why? Price in fact IGD found that “70pc
of shoppers plan to visit Aldi or Lidl for cheaper Christmas groceries this
year in a further sign of the unstoppable rise of the discounters.”
Customer migration is not driven by
price alone but consumer adoption of food quality, speed of service, and
smaller footprints. “Beyond saving
money, shoppers also cite the quality of products, the new products available
and the opportunity to buy items unavailable anywhere else, as reasons for
shopping in discount stores”, said Joanne Denney-Finch, chief executive of IGD.
The
growth of Aldi and Lidl, which now together control 10pc of the UK food market, has meant that ‘Big
Four’ supermarkets have been forced into slashing prices in order to compete
and slow the exodus of shoppers to the discounters. While it will be some time
before the US sees 10% of sales at the new discounters it will happen sooner than
Albertsons and Kroger would like according to our own Grocerant Guru® expect
both to trim prices and margins to maintain ‘share of stomach’.
Aldi
and Lidl’s are not static price focused companies in fact both have recently
improved the quality of their food and now sell more upmarket products and
produce, including £4.99 whole lobsters and wine online, has been credited
with luring more middle-class shoppers through their doors. Around half of
British households now shop at one of the budget supermarkets proving the
ability of Lidl and Aldi to garner customer migration.
Publix
and Whole Foods can worry, but don’t be alarmed as “Supermarkets will remain by
far the most popular destination but discounters, specialist stores (such as
butcher and off licenses) and convenience stores are also favored by many.
People are shopping around and spreading their spending across a growing number
of formats.” the study found.
Foodservice
Solutions® team believes that 2016 will begin a five year “supermarket price
war” in the United States according to our own Grocerant Guru®. That coupled with 2016 food deflation that
regular readers of this blog know we have documented and predicted will create
a perfect storm for food retail price competition. Success does leave clues and
restaurants, conveniences stores, and grocery stores will be in a fierce battle
for share of stomach in 2016. Are you
prepared to break-out in 2016?
Invite
Foodservice Solutions® to complete a Grocerant
Scorecard or a Grocerant Program Assessment. Since 1991 www.FoodserviceSolutions.us of
Tacoma, WA has been the global leader in the Grocerant niche visit
Facebook.com/Steven Johnson, Linkedin.com/in/grocerant or twitter.com/grocerant Call:
253-759-7869 or Email: Steve@FoodserviceSolutions.us
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